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Fredericton

New Brunswick

Statistics Canada geography code 1310032 · census subdivision

MARKET SCORE

87 / 100
Strong fundamentalsConfidence: Medium

Model CS-MI-1.0 · calculated 2026-09-30

Market snapshot

Population

66,879

Period: 2022

Source: Statistics Canada

Confidence: high

Unemployment rate

Data unavailable

The Labour Force Survey publishes annual unemployment rates for 37 census metropolitan areas. This market is not among them, so no local rate is available from this source.

Confidence: low

Average rent

$1,413

CMHC reports this figure for the census metropolitan area, which is wider than the city this market is defined by. Population here is city-level; rent and vacancy are metro-level. CMHC reliability code "a".

Rental vacancy rate

2.5%

CMHC reports this figure for the census metropolitan area, which is wider than the city this market is defined by. Population here is city-level; rent and vacancy are metro-level. CMHC reliability code "a".

Population trend

+15.5% 2013–2022 · Calculated
68,22762,38756,547201320182022

Source: Table 17-10-0142-01 — Population estimates, July 1, by census subdivision (vector 1138979699) · published 2023-01-11

What drives this market?

These weightings are an interpretation of the local economy, not a measurement. They are shown to explain what appears to support rental demand here — treat them differently from the sourced statistics above.

  • Government30% of local drivers

    Provincial capital. The Government of New Brunswick, the legislature and the courts make public administration the single largest employer by a wide margin.

  • Education22% of local drivers

    The University of New Brunswick and St. Thomas University give the city one of the highest student-to-population ratios in Canada.

  • Technology14% of local drivers

    A cybersecurity and IT cluster grown around UNB research and the provincially backed Knowledge Park.

  • Health Care14% of local drivers

    The Dr. Everett Chalmers Regional Hospital serves west-central New Brunswick.

  • Military / Defence12% of local drivers

    5th Canadian Division Support Base Gagetown, the army’s largest training establishment, lies just south of the city and draws on it for housing and services.

  • Construction8% of local drivers

    Public building and residential construction tied to provincial capital spending.

Employer concentration

Government accounts for roughly 30% of the identified economic activity here. A market can have strong rental demand and still carry real risk if too much of it traces back to one institution.

Worth investigating: what happens to local demand if that employer reduces its workforce? This is a scenario to think through, not a prediction.

Rental market

Average rent

$1,413

CMHC reports this figure for the census metropolitan area, which is wider than the city this market is defined by. Population here is city-level; rent and vacancy are metro-level. CMHC reliability code "a".

Vacancy rate

2.5%

CMHC reports this figure for the census metropolitan area, which is wider than the city this market is defined by. Population here is city-level; rent and vacancy are metro-level. CMHC reliability code "a".

All data for this market

MetricPeriodValueTypeConfidenceSource
average rent—$1,413observedhighCanada Mortgage and Housing Corporation
population202266,879observedhighStatistics Canada
population202164,897observedhighStatistics Canada
population202064,536observedhighStatistics Canada
population201963,447observedhighStatistics Canada
population201862,050observedhighStatistics Canada
population201760,862observedhighStatistics Canada
population201659,886observedhighStatistics Canada
population201558,711observedhighStatistics Canada
population201458,283observedhighStatistics Canada
population201357,895observedhighStatistics Canada
rent change pct—5.2%observedhighCanada Mortgage and Housing Corporation
unemployment rate—Data unavailableobservedlow—
vacancy rate—2.5%observedhighCanada Mortgage and Housing Corporation

Rows showing Data unavailable are recorded deliberately, with the reason, rather than omitted — so you can tell the difference between a figure that is zero and one we simply do not have.